- English
- Polish
Between two Donalds: How will Poland fare with Trump 2.0?
We are pleased to invite you to the latest EXANTE Horizon event, held at the historic Palace on the Isle in Łazienki Królewski. This is the exact location where the last King of Poland, Stanisław August Poniatowski, hosted his elite Thursday dinners.
In homage to this tradition, we have convened leading experts from the international financial sector. They will explore how investors may navigate uncertainty, manage risks, and seize investment opportunities in 2025 and beyond.
The Horizon Panel
Arnab Das, PhD
Jarosław Jamka, PhD
Professor Grzegorz W. Kołodko
Andrew Kenningham
About the Event
EXANTE Horizon is designed for management from the finance and investment sectors, as well as our distinguished clients.
The event will commence with a panel discussion where global institutional investors will analyse the shifting dynamics in Europe and worldwide geopolitical shifts, including the repercussions of Trump's second term and the upcoming 2025 presidential elections in Poland on the financial markets.
Following the discussion, we invite attendees to engage in further conversations in the historical setting of the venue, complemented by fine wine and gourmet hors d'oeuvres.
The event will be conducted in English, with simultaneous Polish translation available.
Within the EXANTE Horizon series, we invite seasoned international market analysts to share their insights on emerging trends and future forecasts.
Our events are hosted across major global financial hubs and in rapidly developing financial centres.
Reading Room Warsaw
- Macroeconomic views
- Stocks and ETFs
- Commodities
- Cryptocurrencies and digital ecosystem developments
- Macroeconomic views
- Arnab Das, Global Equities in an America First World
- Trump’s Self-Fulfilling Crisis
Stephen S. Roach of Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, writes about Trump’s policy frenzy that could create an economic crisis.
- Can America Maintain External Sustainability?
Yu Yongding, former president of the China Society of World Economics and director of the Institute of World Economics and Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, writes for Project Syndicate on the net foreign-debt-to-GDP ratio and influence of foreign capital into US stock markets.
- Debt Vulnerabilities And Financing Challenges In Emerging Markets And Developing Economies—An Overview Of Key Data
IMF February Policy Report
- The Post-Pandemic Fiscal Tightrope
Hoe Ee Khor, Rolf Strauch, and Carlos Giraldo explore how fragmentation, climate change, and population aging is shaping policymakers' reactions to fiscal consolidation with rising expenditure needs.
- The European Union’s new fiscal framework: a good start, but challenges loom
Nicolas Boivin and Zsolt Darvas examine the EU’s fiscal plans and how countries have differed in their views on growth and inflation.
- The economics of the new Monroe Doctrine
David Lubin reflects on how the US asserting its self-perceived right to unrestrained autonomy in the Western Hemisphere including where and what the Trumpian vision gets wrong.
- From open door to spheres of influence: US and the new global order
Marc Chandler, Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, writes for OMFIF about Trump’s reshaping of the global order on financial markets so far.
- What’s the future of global trade?
In this podcast,chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, Martin Wolf, talks to Richard Baldwin, professor of international economics at IMD Business School.
- Trade in Transition 2025: Balancing optimism with caution
The Economist Impact’ fifth yearly report on trade
- Is the World Trade Organization still relevant?
Alan Wm. Wolff of the Peterson Institute for International Economics discusses the shift in US policies and reforms needed to the WTO to keep it relevant.
- The mounting risks to US exceptionalism
Mohamed El-Erian writes for the Financial Times about how Trump’s policy changes could make companies more cautious on spending and investment.
- Global defence spending soars to new high
Fenella McGurty writes for the Institute of International Strategic Studies (IISS) about how much global defence spending has risen over the past decade and the outlook for future spending.
- War or Peace in Ukraine: US Moves and European Choices
Francois Heisburg writes for the IISS about the impact of the war in Ukraine on Russia, Trump’s proposals, and how all of this may affect Europe.
- Stocks and ETFs
- How big is the stock market’s America bubble?
Gideon Rachman writes for the Financial Times about US stock markets vulnerability to AI and tech stocks valuations.
- Doge could make funds vulnerable to front-running, Democrats warn
David Isenberg writes for the Financial Times about the risks of Elon Musk having access to SEC data.
- European stocks outpace Wall Street since Donald Trump took office
Arjun Neil Alim and Ian Smith write for the Financial Times about the unexpectedly strong performance of European indices to date this year.
- The Decline In U.S. Stocks To Choose From: What It Means For Investors
Wes Mos writes for Forbes about the impact M&A and fewer IPOs are having on market concentration and investor opportunities.
- How big is the stock market’s America bubble?
- Commodities
- Europe’s energy information problem
Ben McWilliams, Simone Tagliapietra, Georg Zachman write for think-tank Bruegel about energy information gaps and reporting obligations.
- Oil Markets in 2025: Divergence in narrative
A discussion of the factors that can explain the divergence in the oil market outlook for 2025 and the wide set of uncertainties that dictate the narrative in the year ahead.
- Gold price hits a new high in 2025 – could it soar higher?
Dan McEvoy writes for Moneyweek about the impact economic and geopolitical uncertainty has and will continue to have on gold prices.
- Gold finds a new sparkle in tokenisation
Cici Lu McCalman, Head of Research at Matrixdock, writes for OMFIF about how gold tokenisation will surpass gold ETFs.
- Europe’s energy information problem
- Cryptocurrencies and digital ecosystem developments
- Bitcoin reserves won’t secure America’s future, only a platform play will
Christian Catalini, Co-founder of Lightspark and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cryptoeconomics Lab, writes for OMFIF on how a well developed infrastructure could allow Bitcoin and Stablecoins to reinforce dollar dominance.
- Securing The Future Of Digital Assets: How To Prevent The Trillion-Dollar Heist
Sebastian Williams writing for Forbes on how to keep digital currencies secure.
- Encryption ‘back doors’ are a bad idea
A view from the Financial Times Editorial Board on governments demanding access to digital service providers information.
- Bitcoin reserves won’t secure America’s future, only a platform play will
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